MERLIN low risk
Private profile
Backtest Name
MERLIN low risk
Certifications
Backtest
Hypothetical results from the MetaTrader 5 Strategy Tester, not a live account. They were produced by replaying a strategy on historical prices: no real money was traded. Backtested performance has inherent limitations and does not guarantee future results.
Consistency checks passed
18 of 18 checks: the trades table is complete and its balance adds up, and the numbers of the summary (net and gross profit, profit factor, drawdowns, trade counts, streaks, tested period) agree with the table and with each other. This shows the file is internally consistent, not that the strategy will perform the same on a live account.
Info
Test symbol
This is the symbol and timeframe the test was launched on. With MetaTrader 5 a strategy can trade several symbols in the same backtest, so this one may also contain trades on other pairs: you can see them all under Breakdown Statistics, by symbol.
Account Stats
Gain
Time-Weighted Return (TWR)
Measures your trading performance independently from deposits and withdrawals. Shows the actual return generated by your trading decisions, calculated by compounding the daily returns of your equity curve.
+432.65%
Abs. Gain
Absolute Gain
Percentage gain based on your total closed profit/loss relative to deposits. Calculated as (Net Closed P&L / Total Deposits) × 100. Accounts for withdrawals through the profit calculation.
+432.65%
Avg Daily %
Average Daily Return
The average percentage return per trading day. Calculated by dividing your total Time-Weighted Return by the number of days with trading activity. Helps you understand your typical daily performance.
0.64%
Avg Monthly %
Average Monthly Return
The arithmetic mean of all monthly returns. Shows your average monthly performance across all months with trading activity. Useful for setting realistic monthly profit targets.
21.54%
Drawdown
Maximum Drawdown (on Equity)
The largest peak-to-trough decline in your account equity (balance + floating P&L). Represents the maximum loss from a high point before a new high is achieved. Lower drawdowns indicate better risk management. This includes unrealized profits/losses from open positions.
6.04%
DD on Balance
Maximum Drawdown (on Balance)
The largest peak-to-trough decline in your closed balance only, excluding floating P&L from open positions. Shows the actual realized drawdown based on closed trades. More conservative than equity drawdown as it ignores temporary unrealized losses.
4.84%
Balance
$5,326.48
Equity
(100.00%) $5,326.48
Highest $
Peak Balance
The highest equity point your account has reached. This represents your all-time high before any subsequent drawdowns. Tracking this helps you understand how far you are from your best performance.
$5,370.43
Profit
+$4,326.48
Deposits
$1,000.00
Withdrawals
$0.00
History Quality
History Quality
How accurate the price history used by the Strategy Tester was, as declared in the report. 99-100% means the test ran on real ticks; lower values mean prices were partly simulated from bars, so the results are less reliable.
100%
Followers
0
Growth
+432.65%
Monthly Returns
Monthly and daily performance breakdown
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +78.69% | +44.61% | +39.16% | +8.57% | +13.66% | +9.59% | +4.89% | +2.72% | +1.65% | — | — | — | +432.65% |
| Total | +432.65% | ||||||||||||
Advanced Statistics
Detailed performance metrics and analytics
Trades
Performance Metrics
Profit Factor
Ratio of gross profits to gross losses. A value above 1.0 means profitable trading. For example, 2.0 means you make $2 for every $1 lost. Higher values indicate better performance and risk management.
Standard Deviation
Measures the volatility of your trade returns. Higher values mean more inconsistent results. Lower standard deviation indicates more predictable and stable trading performance.
Sharpe Ratio
Measures risk-adjusted returns by comparing your average return to the volatility (standard deviation). Higher values indicate better returns for the risk taken. Values above 1.0 are considered good, above 2.0 excellent.
Z-Score
Statistical measure of how randomly wins and losses are distributed. Values near 0 indicate random distribution. High positive or negative values suggest streaky patterns (consecutive wins or losses), which may indicate system dependencies.
Expectancy
The average amount you can expect to win (or lose) per trade in both pips and currency. Calculated as (Win Rate × Avg Win) - (Loss Rate × Avg Loss). Positive expectancy means your system is profitable over time.
Average Holding Period Return
The arithmetic average return per trade. Calculated as the sum of all trade returns divided by the number of trades. Useful for understanding your average performance per position.
Geometric Holding Period Return
The compounded average return per trade. More accurate than AHPR for measuring long-term performance as it accounts for the multiplicative nature of returns. Shows the actual growth rate of your account.
Breakdown Statistics
Performance breakdown by instrument or strategy
| Trades | Pips | Profit($) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Longs | 81 | 11887.7 | $1,183.63 |
| Shorts | 93 | 31369.7 | $3,142.85 |
| Total | 174 | 43257.4 | $4,326.48 |
| Currency | Longs | Shorts | Total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades | Pips | Profit($) | Trades | Pips | Profit($) | Trades | Pips | Profit($) | Won(%) | Lost(%) | |
| XAUUSD | 81 | 11887.7 | $1,183.63 | 93 | 31369.7 | $3,142.85 | 174 | 43257.4 | $4,326.48 | 138 (79%) | 36 (21%) |
Trade History & Balance Progression
View closed trades with balance progression or active open positions
Smart Insights
AI-powered analysis of your trading patterns
- Outstanding win rate of 79.3% - you're consistently picking winning trades!
- Time-Weighted Return of 432.6% - outstanding performance!
- Excellent profit factor of 3.95 shows your wins significantly outweigh losses.
- Strong positive expectancy of $24.86 per trade - your strategy has statistical edge.
- Recent performance shows +0.64% daily change - monitor for consistency.